With over one quarter of Japans electricity requirement being sourced from nuclear energy, the loss of its eleven nuclear reactors to Tsunami, has taken out a approximately 10831 MW of thermal power generation, according to Reuters reports. Japan, which is the the world's largest importer of seaborne coal and LNG and the world's third-largest consumer of oil, would step up the usage of these alternate sources of energy to make up for the loss of the nuclear energy. Even as this means that Natural Gas demand should remain firm, it may not increase substantially, as the spare generation capacity appears to be more limited according to IEA reports. In 2010, Japan imported 70 million tonnes of LNG.
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According to IEA, with little domestic production, Japan relies almost entirely on imports to meet its gas demand. Due to the lack of international pipelines, all of the gas imports are in the form of LNG. However, even if Japans Natural Gas consumption goes up significantly, the immediate impact would be more in the nature of a domino rather than direct. Australia, Qatar and ASEAN gas producers (Indonesia, Malaysia and Brunei) are the main import sources of gas for Japan.
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Last thursdays weekly inventory report from Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed that US Natural Gas storage draw of 56 bcf for the week, was more than forecast and the previous years draw of 25 bcf for similar period. Early estimates for this week's EIA storage report range from a draw of 8 bcf to a build of 20 bcf, versus a year-ago gain of 7 bcf and a fiveyear average decline of about 17 bcf.
Tsunami in Natural Gas? - Moneycontrol.com